A write lands where it shouldn't.
The engineering workstation sends a Modbus FC 06 write to PLC-07 at 02:34, hours outside its normal pattern. Synaptic OT sees it on a mirrored copy of the switch traffic. It never sends a packet to a controller.
modbus/tcp 10.0.0.55 → 10.0.0.107:502 function 06 write single register register 40001 ← 4000 (baseline 3200–3450)